Since the 2016 presidential election, I’ve been collecting and curating various metrics and data related to President Donald Trump – from favorability ratings and job approval numbers to media-sponsored fact-checks and recent tweets from the President himself.
Importantly, my goal is not to try to undermine the President or fuel animosity towards him. Quite the contrary. Although I strongly disagree with many of Mr. Trump’s proposed policies, I certainly hope he rises to the occasion and performs well in leading our country for the next four years. Rather, my goal here is to do my part – however small – to promote a more informed citizenry and ensure that in the 2020 election – and in all future elections, as well – more Americans base their votes on cold, hard facts and numbers, rather than on heated emotion, subjective impressions, and (God help us) catchy memes. Certainly, this is something each of us needs to be reminded of from time to time.
Note, too, that if you’re interested in monitoring the potential impact of the Trump administration on the overall health and well-being of the U.S. economy, you can visit my “Economic Snapshot,” where I am tracking unemployment, labor force participation, job creation, inflation, and income inequality.
Note: This page is a work in progress, and it will undoubtedly continue to grow and evolve over time. So, I invite you to comment and leave suggestions on what additional metrics and data you would like to see included in the future.
How Favorably Do Americans View Trump?
Donald Trump ascended to the Presidency with some of the lowest favorability ratings in modern presidential politics. To be fair, voters didn’t like Hillary Clinton all that much either. But throughout the campaign they seemed especially not to like Trump.
But how do Americans feel about him today, now that he’s President?
The graphic below shows data from 478 public polls. Each poll asked a slice of the American public whether they view Mr. Trump favorably or unfavorably. The data stretch back as far as May 2015, shortly before Trump launched his Presidential campaign.
Included at the bottom of the graphic is an estimate of how Americans currently perceive Mr. Trump. These estimates reflect a moving average based on the five most recent poll results.
Do Americans Approve of the Job Trump is Doing?
The graphic below shows data from 273 public polls. Each poll asked a slice of the American public whether they approve or disapprove of the job President Trump is doing in the White House. The data stretch back to January 20, 2017, the date Mr. Trump was sworn in as the 45th President of the United States.
Included at the bottom of the graphic is an estimate of what Americans currently think of President Trump’s job performance. These estimates reflect a moving average based on the five most recent poll results.
How Honest is Trump?
As most political commentators might tell you, Donald Trump has a tenuous relationship with the truth. He’s not one for nuance or subtlety, and he frequently likes to exaggerate and simplify complex issues (at least in public). Below is Donald Trump’s scorecard from PolitiFact, a fact-checking website operated by the Tampa Bay Times.
So far, PolitiFact has evaluated 422 public statements from Mr. Trump. Among this set of fact-checked statements, only 17% have been designated “True” or “Mostly True,” compared with 53% deemed either “False” or “Mostly False.” Meanwhile, 16% of Trump’s statements have been determined to be false to such a degree that they have been labeled “Pants on Fire.” You can read more about PolitiFact’s fact-checking process here.
Brian Kurilla is a psychological scientist with a Ph.D. in cognitive psychology. You can follow Brian on Twitter @briankurilla